![Image from the short story "Why don't we just kill the kid in the omelas hole" by Isabel J. Kim. Text says "So they broke into the hole in the ground, and they killed the kid, and all the lights went out in Omelas: click, click, click. And the pipes burst and there was a sewage leak and the newscasters said there was a typhoon on the way, so they (a different “they,” these were the “they” in charge, the “they” who lived in the nice houses in Omelas [okay, every house in Omelas was a nice house, but these were Nice Houses]) got another kid and put it in the hole."](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:5wm25vgenhgut3iqfjf4ozj5/bafkreihmah3ivppdhjdu7gffyi7syknlb2xpkqcei5g7xcqfwnvanyzqn4@jpeg)
yeah good point!
I think that's roughly right but I think there's also a hidden confounder where Tesla owners don't turn it on when they know it won't work
Estimates range from 20k in SF (cruise + Michigan + VTTI study) to about 100k (just dividing total miles driven by crashes)
Very little can make you crazy faster than reading about NYC construction prices
Great article, you should read every word. Goes into the details of why the projects cost so much (scope bloat), and then the cause (no in-house capacity to sweat the details, leading to many multiples of cost from contractors with every incentive to drive scope higher)
NEW: Why does it cost $100 million to put elevators into a subway station? Which became an exploration of what all is in those projects. Which became an exploration of how and why the MTA's old and bad planning pathologies continue to persist: www.curbed.com/article/subw...
They’re taking a huge bite out of the MTA’s budget.
Long horizon reasoning is fascinating, and how we can enable it is the motivating drive for why a lot of people — myself included — are so interested in robotics and AI. Points2Plan was a recent paper promising great long-horizon reasoning: itcanthink.substack.com/p/paper-note...
"Strong generalization to unseen long-horizon tasks in the real world"
So did any pop-sci social science finding survive? Out: power-poses, Zimbardo prison experiment, robbers cave experiment, willpower depletion, "hand-washing makes you intolerant", etc. etc. What's left?
No gatekeeping, onto the list you go
I think with a little bit more critical mass this could be even nerdier. One hopes