Flow of the vote, 2019-24, revised using @britishelectionstudy.com data. Only a few minor alterations, but the shifts are still striking - without even getting onto non voters and demographic churn, over 10m voters voted for a different party in 2024 than in 2019.

Via the newly released @britishelectionstudy.com data, one in eight voters really preferred another party at the general election. When adjusting for who they really favoured, we can create a 'sincere' vote share: Lab: 31% (-4, vs actual) Con: 23% (-1) Ref: 16% (+1) LD: 12% (-1) Grn: 11% (+4)

As a Sussex fan, very pleased to see Glos win the final! They could have been a bit less ruthless in the semi though

Really sorry to hear this, hope you get back out quickly and are doing much better soon

Thoughtful ‘myth-busting’ AI article. This is a useful and succinct summary of LLM output. Suspect I may end up quoting it.

Looks unlikely now!

I’m not too sure Carsball will take off, but yes most of watching England in any sport is about that faint hope!

Is it worth switching on for the second half or as dull as the stats suggest?

File under 'people are complicated'. "...the demographic characteristics of people who are opposed to action on specific inequalities varies quite considerably." Another good read from the @fairness.bsky.socialopen.substack.com/pub/faircomm...

Who are the 15% who aren't bothered about inequality?

Our polling finds a fairly consistent 15% who are unconcerned about inequality and oppose action to tackle it. Who are these people, and are they always the same people or do they vary by issue?

More good stuff from the Darzi review being pre-briefed. He is absolutely right that the NHS is “undercapitalised” compared with other health systems Since 1970, there have only been 2 years when we've invested more than the OECD average www.thetimes.com/uk/healthcar...