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Liam Hoare 🇺🇦
@lahoare.bsky.social
Europe Editor for Moment Magazine and author of The Vienna Briefing. Subscribe: viennabriefing.substack.com. You can reach me at: linktr.ee/liamhoare.
420 followers563 following998 posts
LHlahoare.bsky.social

The Greens' downfall occurred above all in Austria's cities. Prior to postal votes being counted, their vote share declined by 11.5 pp in Graz, 10.3 pp in Innsbruck, and 8.3 pp in Linz. A similar outcome awaits them in Vienna. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

The FPÖ achieved its victory by poaching 443,000 2019 voters from the ÖVP as well as 258,000 2019 non-voters. 180,000 2019 SPÖ voters stayed home this time but it won over 148,000 2019 Green voters. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

Nationalratswahl 2024 - news.ORF.at
Nationalratswahl 2024 - news.ORF.at

Alle Ergebnisse und Visualisierungen zur Nationalratswahl 2024.

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

The Beer Party don't like to be talked about as a 'joke party' but their campaign was indeed a joke. Their leader was insincere, the party structure intransparent, their press operation threadbare, and their manifesto threadbare. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

While a revival of the grand coalition between the ÖVP and SPÖ might be mathematically possible, it remains unrealistic in practice. Its majority would be too slender, the work of passing constitutional legislation too difficult. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

UPDATE: The ORF/Foresight's latest projection more than three hours after the final polling stations closed in Austria: 🔵 FPÖ 28.9% ⚫️ ÖVP 26.3% 🔴 SPÖ 21.0% 🩷 NEOS 9.1% 🟢 GRÜNE 8.3% #NRW24#NRWahl2024

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

In Traiskirchen, where SPÖ leader Andreas Babler is the mayor, the SPÖ's vote share has increased by more than eight percentage points (prior to postal votes being counted). #NRW24#NRWahl2024

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

Postal votes haven't been counted yet and the cities haven't reported yet, but right now, the FPÖ is performing strongly in its heartland, Carinthia, as well as in the Innviertel in Upper Austria and other more rural areas. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

The leader of the future extra-parliamentary opposition.

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

61% of FPÖ voters told exit pollsters that the ÖVP should be in the next government, but only 26% of ÖVP voters said the same of the FPÖ. ÖVP voters would prefer a coalition with the SPÖ and/or the NEOS. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

Nationalratswahl 2024 - news.ORF.at
Nationalratswahl 2024 - news.ORF.at

Alle Ergebnisse und Visualisierungen zur Nationalratswahl 2024.

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LHlahoare.bsky.social

FPÖ voters were clearly the most determined. 53% told exit pollsters it was the most important election of their lifetimes. 83% had made up their minds more than three weeks before the election to vote for the FPÖ. #NRW24#NRWahl2024

Nationalratswahl 2024 - news.ORF.at
Nationalratswahl 2024 - news.ORF.at

Alle Ergebnisse und Visualisierungen zur Nationalratswahl 2024.

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LH
Liam Hoare 🇺🇦
@lahoare.bsky.social
Europe Editor for Moment Magazine and author of The Vienna Briefing. Subscribe: viennabriefing.substack.com. You can reach me at: linktr.ee/liamhoare.
420 followers563 following998 posts