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RJrichardjhewitt.bsky.social

Now published! We identify the key risks to World Cultural Heritage Sites under shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the most up-to-date global climate model available. Open Access: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Future climate risks to world cultural heritage sites in Spain: A systematic analysis based on shared socioeconomic pathways
Future climate risks to world cultural heritage sites in Spain: A systematic analysis based on shared socioeconomic pathways

Rapidly advancing anthropogenic climate change is a severe threat to cultural heritage worldwide. World cultural heritage sites (WCHS) are recognized …

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Pre-proof out led now by my student Haisheng Hu. In depth data-led analysis of the future impacts of climate change on World Cultural Heritage Sites under CMIP6 model shared socioeconomic pathways. Congratulations Hu! www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Future climate risks to world cultural heritage sites in Spain: a systematic analysis based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Future climate risks to world cultural heritage sites in Spain: a systematic analysis based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Rapidly advancing anthropogenic climate change is a severe threat to cultural heritage worldwide. World cultural heritage sites (WCHS) are recognized …

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SLsklee621.bsky.social

The AMOC in 9 CMIP6 models under the fossil-fueled development scenario (SSP-585) eventually collapses after 2100 according to an under-review study 🌊🧪 www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5...

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DNnedcwilliams.bsky.social

New paper, led by Yingfei Fang during her visit to the University of Exeter: ENSO teleconnections to the South Pacific are underestimated in CMIP6 models, and are generally too far west although the position improves with increased ocean resolution. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

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MGintegrandma.bsky.social

anyone want to To hang out ? shorturl.at/Whu1y

IPCC CMIP6 model plotting mean temperature change in °C increasing between 0-5 over the years 1950-2100, title reads CMIP6 - Mean temperature (T) Change deg C - Warming 3°C S
(Global), and text Dotted line: Model
Solid line: P50 (Median)
Gray shading: Selected period
licht / dark area• Soread P10-P90 / 225-75
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KSkschwarzwald.bsky.social

Highlights: (1) While observed trends are never _outside_ the full range of CMIP6 model runs, multidecadal decreases in rainfall, like we saw in the 1980s-2000s, are systematically too rare in CMIP6 models compared to observations, just like they were in CMIP5 models.

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KSkschwarzwald.bsky.social

Since the first papers on the Paradox, we have new GCMs (CMIP6) with Large Ensembles that better sample internal variability, another decade of obs, and a much better understanding of model biases in the region and beyond. So, it’s high time to update our understanding!

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DBdreamingbeetle.bsky.social

Replotted modeled climate (CMIP6) data from GlobalChange.gov to show the expected number of days with temperatures exceeding 100 F in 2100. 🧪

A map of the number of days per year to reach over 100 degrees F by 2070-2100. The color bar shows shades from blue (0 days) grading to white and then red (130 days). A map of the lower 48 states of the US shows that southern states and several states in the south west in shades of red, indicating more days of high temperatures. More northern states and areas of high elevation display shades of blue.
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ACwoodenman.bsky.social

The conclusions from this study about carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires are quite chilling Cannot even begin to fathom the hellscape that gets compared with the ANNUAL fossil fuel CO2 emissions of IndiaThe conclusions from this study about carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires are quite chilling Cannot even begin to fathom the hellscape that gets compared with the ANNUAL fossil fuel CO2 emissions of India

Carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires
Published: 28 August 2024

Conclusions

The 2023 fire season was the warmest and driest for Canadian forests since at least 1980, resulting in vast carbon emissions from forest fires. Using TROPOMI CO retrievals, we estimate the total May–September CO2 + CO emissions from these fires to be 647 TgC (range 570–727 TgC), comparable in magnitude to India’s annual fossil fuel CO2 emissions. The 2023 warmth was exceptional based on the last 44 years but CMIP6 climate models project that the temperatures of 2023 will become normal by the 2050s. Such changes are likely to increase fire activity5,6,7,8, risking the carbon uptake potential of Canadian forests. This will impact allowable emissions for reaching warming targets, as reduced carbon sequestration by ecosystems must be compensated for by adjusting anthropogenic emissions reductions.
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Q8t3v3n.bsky.social

Projecting changes in the drivers of compound flooding in Europe using CMIP6 models "Tim Hermans for the CMIP Seminar held on 28 August 2024 titled 'Projecting changes in the drivers of compound flooding in Europe using CMIP6 models'."Projecting changes in the drivers of compound flooding in Europe using CMIP6 models "Tim Hermans for the CMIP Seminar held on 28 August 2024 titled 'Projecting changes in the drivers of compound flooding in Europe using CMIP6 models'."

Projecting changes in the drivers of compound flooding in Europe using CMIP6 models
Projecting changes in the drivers of compound flooding in Europe using CMIP6 models

YouTube video by CMIP ─ Coupled Model Intercomparison Project

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