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Ppeterdutoit.com

“There are 20 different factors in weighing where people want to move. Higher up on the list is where friends and family live, where I can afford to move. Much lower down is what is the risk of hurricane or wildfire.” ie #ClimateLiteracy is sorely lacking.

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Ppeterdutoit.com

As more and more physical environments destabilise. We urgently need robust early warning systems for *everyone* Here are the four essential pillars of end to end, people-centred Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems (MHEWS): Pillar 1: Disaster risk knowledge #ClimateLiteracy#ClimateCrisis 1/2

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Ppeterdutoit.com

NEW from IRI: “Regarding temperature, strongly enhanced probabilities for above-normal temperature are forecasted across most land areas throughout the forecast period.” (Oct-Dec 2024 through Jan-Mar 2025) This despite a 71% chance of La Niña emerging Sep-Nov. #ClimateLiteracy

IRI Multi-Model Probability Forecast for Temperature for October-November-December 2024, Issued September 2024
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Ppeterdutoit.com

"The sustained nature of this near-record global ocean heat suggests that climate patterns such as ENSO may not necessarily behave or evolve as they have in the past." #ClimateLiteracyhttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

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Ppeterdutoit.com

What is going on with SSTs? TL:DR emerging La Niña “Global SST will soon be falling below the elevated late-‘23 levels, but we should not expect SSTs to fall back to the pre-‘23 level as the aerosol effect continues and greenhouse gas forcing continues to grow.“—Hansen et al #ClimateLiteracy 1/

Daily sea surface temperature anomaly for 60°S-60°N
Data: ERA5 1979-2024 • Reference period: 1991-2020 • Credit: C3S/ECMWF
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