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xPV estimates the probability that a possession will result in a goal, given the location on the pitch and various contextual factors. cc: @spurs #COYS#FediFC

The top players in the Premier League for the 2024-25 season based on their xPV (expected possession value) after five games, specifically from open play.

Son Heung-Min leads with an xPV score of 1.76, followed by Adama Traoré with 1.52, and Y. Minteh with 1.48. James Maddison is fourth with a score of 1.46, and Savinho rounds out the top five at 1.40.

Other notable players include Antoine Semenyo, Ryan Gravenberch, Kevin De Bruyne, Dejan Kulusevski, and Bryan Mbeumo, all with xPV values ranging from 1.34 to 1.12.

The chart reflects players' contributions to their teams' offensive potential through open play in the early part of the season.
Field location: The closer a team is to the opponent's goal or the better the position they are in (based on historical data), the higher the xPV.

Actions: Specific actions such as passes, dribbles, and tackles are also evaluated in terms of how much they improve or reduce the likelihood of a scoring opportunity. Positive actions (like a forward pass or a successful dribble into the final third) increase the possession value, while negative actions (like losing the ball in a dangerous area) decrease it.
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