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LRleerowan.bsky.social

'flash polls' among what group of participants?

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MCcyanescens.bsky.social

I don’t know about the precise wording but yeah, it was like 56%. But it’s the kinda thing like “Medicare for all” that you can get a solid majority to support, then say “you’ll have to switch off of your current insurance” and suddenly large majorities oppose it. Issue polls are garbage

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TPtimpark.bsky.social

The thing is, the polls afterwards are saying the Walz won in terms of people's perception. People don't want "debate prepared." They want leaders that are straightforward and honest.

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JWbcnjake.bsky.social

The polls weren't widening. Here are the 538 polling averages for today and the past four weeks: Harris +2.7 Harris +2.6 Harris + 3.3 (post debate) Harris +2.4 Harris +3.0 The polls haven't meaningfully widened since August. We win if we focus on what matters, like turnout. The debate ain't it.

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Ddmlundeen.bsky.social

Sort of like the polls that used to say majorities of Americans opposed stem cell research. Bullshit. Only a small percentage of Americans know what a stem cell is.

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The audience for most media is smarter than the creators believe. I understand there's nothing very stubborn about the post-debate polls: they are mixed.

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MCmconcagh.bsky.social

One of my hot takes is that Sunak was essentially fucked by the polling in 2022, if the polls had accurately shown a 45-55 race then the whole summer (and the MPs rounds) would’ve had a completely different dynamic

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