Here is where 538's presidential polling averages stand as of Wednesday afternoon: 🔴Arizona: Trump+1.3 🔴Georgia: Trump+1.1 🔴North Carolina: Trump+1.0 🔵Nevada: Harris+0.8 🔵Pennsylvania: Harris+0.8 🔵Wisconsin: Harris+0.9 🔵Michigan: Harris+1.0 🔵National: Harris+2.5Here is where 538's presidential polling averages stand as of Wednesday afternoon: 🔴Arizona: Trump+1.3 🔴Georgia: Trump+1.1 🔴North Carolina: Trump+1.0 🔵Nevada: Harris+0.8 🔵Pennsylvania: Harris+0.8 🔵Wisconsin: Harris+0.9 🔵Michigan: Harris+1.0 🔵National: Harris+2.5

Am I right in thinking that means a trump victory?

Is Nate Cohn right about these polls?