2. it is worth thinking about the conditions under which data does have an impact, and evaluate how the current conditions compare. historians of intelligence agencies have useful things to say here. 2/?

tldr: intelligence gets adopted by policy makers when it is immediately operationally relevant, or it gets slowly absorbed over time through repetitions. this is why the cia does a daily presidential briefing, to slowly educate the president in what the cia thinks they should know 3/?