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Catie Bailard
@catiebailard.bsky.social
Political scientist, associate prof. of political communication in SMPA @ GW, IDDP research cluster lead, SF sports fan. Research interests mostly focus on the intersection of ICT and (threats to) democracy.
143 followers347 following94 posts
CBcatiebailard.bsky.social

Yup. All poll responses are not “equal,” pollsters have to weight by probability of voting. Not only have trad. metrics for determining weights been out of whack past few elections. In this one, pollsters cont. to systematically underestimate how mobilizing abortion is for a swath of likely voters.

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CB
Catie Bailard
@catiebailard.bsky.social
Political scientist, associate prof. of political communication in SMPA @ GW, IDDP research cluster lead, SF sports fan. Research interests mostly focus on the intersection of ICT and (threats to) democracy.
143 followers347 following94 posts