National: 🔵 Harris +3.6 🔵 PA: Harris +2.7 🔵 MI: Harris +2.2 🔵 WI: Harris +2.1 🔵 NV: Harris +2.4 🔴 AZ: Trump +1.1 🔴 GA: Trump +1.1 🔵 NC: Harris +0.4 🔴 FL: Trump +3.7 🔵 NE-2: Harris +7.5
If she wins NC by ONLY that much, it will be because voting is screwy in Asheville and the surrounding area bc of Helene. I think Mark Robinson running for governor is really going to hurt Trump in the state, that women are FURIOUS, and…
I think that's probably right though maybe underestimating Harris a touch.
2024 Presidential Election Simulated Forecast Model: ——————————————— Harris EC Win Probability: 🔵 80.9% Trump EC Win Probability: 🔴 18.7% Harris Popular Vote Win Probability: 🔵 81.2% Probability Harris Wins Popular Vote/Loses EC: 14.8% (Based on 40,000 simulated outcomes)
HOW IS IT STILL SO CLOSE, AMERICA? LAND OF THE FECKIN FREE AND NEAR ON HALF OF YOU ARE PLANNING TO VOTE FOR A TREACHEROUS FELON WHO HAS LITERALLY TOLD YOU HE IS GOING TO BREAK DEMOCRACY AND INSTALL A FASCIST STATE!!!!!!
ALT: a cartoon character with a very angry face is wearing a tie and a white shirt .
I'd be surprised if Georgia ends up that close, given the record setting early turnout. I don't know if that's a good sign or bad sign, though.
Does this person have a link to his model as well as his 2020/2022 predictions? I haven’t heard of him before.
Anything on TX? Any chance here this time?
I fear my birth state (FL) may be perma-cooked