1/ I thought I’d summarize results of my new study “US State Restrictions and Excess COVID-19 Pandemic Deaths” published today in JAMA Health Forum (doi:10.1001/jamahealthforum.2024.2006). The study looks at excess deaths from 7/20-6/22. The first months of the pandemic are not included because

2/ months of the pandemic are not included because there was little policy variation at that point and infection/death rates were largely determined by idiosyncratic factors (see the paper for evidence). The primary analysis looks at “packages” of weak versus strong restrictions, covering: