I was living in Delaware during that election. Still crazy to me that Republicans threw away a totally winnable Senate seat. Mike Castle (R) was incredibly popular among the wider electorate.
That's helpful! I want to make sure I'm showing effective ads from both parties.
I’m talking about tv ads in campaigns with my GWU students in a few days. What are the best ads from this cycle to show them alongside this classic from 2004? youtu.be/LWA052-Bl48?...
YouTube video by Maviglio
When do interest groups — like organized labor — use the housing entitlement process to secure benefits? Now published in JPIPE, A. Magazinnik, Anna Weissman, and I find a relationship with big implications for the housing supply & attempts to reform local permitting. 1/10
In the future, we hope to add more policy issues and make the raw data outputs available.
Under the hood, it uses a big MRP model to aggregate data from the Cooperative Election Study and TrueViews. It pools information across geography with help from VEST and Census data.
We hope it's useful for journalists, activists, and academics looking for public opinion at the subnational level. For instance, check out public opinion in my home town of Mechanicsburg, PA on abortion: trueviews.org#questioncode...
I'm really excited for the rollout of trueviews.org on Tuesday. This is a website we've been working for awhile, which shows public opinion at a variety of geographic scales, including zip codes, state legislative districts, congressional districts, and states.
Hey crime/cj folks- I just saw the FBI posted updated 2022 UCR data. I had thought the program ended in 2020. Did I miss something? Thanks! www.icpsr.umich.edu/web/NACJD/se...
This is a very cool working paper paper from @statmodeling.bsky.socialstat.columbia.edu/~gelman/rese...