I’m only on here occasionally but I appreciate the fresh start.

Feels like that’s a big bet on p(wedding).

If we’ve chatted a bunch on Twitter and I’m not following you on here let me know, I probably missed some folks.

It wasn’t intended as a put down! “Let’s see what the posters on Bluesky are talking about” is a good use case.

The thing is for some of us (maybe not actually you because you’re you) we actually need a chronological timeline because time matters, it’s not just some nice-to-have.

Yeah, and similarly if Republicans are on the verge of winning NV they’re probably at 270 through some other path already.

And maybe it does end up like an MSNBC.

It was a 1.3% race — much closer than Michigan was, about as competitive as PA.

Something would shift to prevent that, even if we can’t see it today.

If you were truly starting with this map then NV wouldn’t mean much — if Dems got one of AZ/WI/GA it’d be over. But I do think PA/NC will be competitive too.