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ErikT
@erik45824291.bsky.social
Real Estate Researcher
5 followers15 following199 posts
Eerik45824291.bsky.social

The county Asheville is in is very blue, and the largest of all the w nc counties. All other counties in western nc are very red, but not big. So it’s about even.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

Years ago, I worked at one of the bigger real estate developers and the CIO would specifically ask people during any presentation why they didn’t start the axis at zero, and demand they change it. It’s also funny to see axis bs in offering memos. Immediate red flag that they aren’t being upfront.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

It should be illegal to start axis like this not at 0. Same with ones showing some prices and make single digit percentage changes look like massive swings.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

It really started when the president of the organization didn’t want a bunch of development in Hollywood that would spoil his view from his office. So he used his powerful organization to push against development.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

Everyone working from home in 2020 did a pretty good job with traffic to. But alas, the ceo’s can only feel powerful when they have cubicles full of depressed workers.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

Sure on an absolute basis it might mismatch what happened in 2020, but the misremembering should be somewhat consistent. And the entire change in the top line is explained by those changes. Who knows what is right, but it’s pretty clear the “trends” are being driven by composition of responses.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

In NYT Arizona poll, In the August poll, 44% of their likely voter poll were Biden 2020 voters, vs 37% trump 2020. In todays, it’s 43% trump 2020, and 39% Biden 2020. I don’t get how their likely voter screen can swing that much, and how they have trump +4.8% 2020 pool in a state Biden won.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

In Arizona, In the August poll, 44% of their likely voter poll were Biden 2020 voters, vs 37% trump 2020. In todays, it’s 43% trump 2020, and 39% Biden 2020. I don’t get how their likely voter screen can swing that much, and how they have trump +4.8% 2020 pool in a state Biden won.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

In the August poll, 44% of their likely voter poll were Biden 2020 voters, vs 37% trump 2020. In todays, it’s 43% trump 2020, and 39% Biden 2020. Seems suspect.

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Eerik45824291.bsky.social

They treat overtime and no tax on tips as legitimate proposals, but this week he said he was gonna cap credit card interest at 10%, and no one takes that seriously. It’s like a scale, they only cover something if its actual impact is moderate in scale. Anything big, good or bad, is just hand waved.

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ErikT
@erik45824291.bsky.social
Real Estate Researcher
5 followers15 following199 posts