What Elon and others are doing by rigging the betting markets is constructing an alternate reality where Trump is guaranteed to win in a large landslide. When that doesn't happen, they'll soon settle conspiracy theories to explain why and use it to incite people to violence.

How will / should the US /US Democrats plan for Trump / Musk election conspiracy? After all, there was plenty of warning.

Who's to say state electors don't also have massive stakes in those markets? After all, they're the ones best positioned to ensure they profit from them. Prediction markets are incredibly dangerous for the US' already tenuous democracy

The gap between predictit and others that show allow massive positions and foreign money is too big to explain away as anything other than market manipulation to create the illusion of winning. Reality denial is a powerful motivator for conspiratorial thinking. We saw it with FEMA in NC.

It's the fundamental fantasy of fascism: the fantasy of having already succeeded at whatever they want, and that any setback is the result of someone else attacking them.

With how badly they're skewing the betting markets, I'm wondering if I should put some money on Harris and collect from the ridiculous pay-out that their manufactured betting odds have created.

This election is so damn exhausting.

Careful. Most people were very certain that Donald Trump wasn't going to win the 2016 election either.

The UK white supremacist riots were a test run for what he plans to do here post-election.

I wonder if they're drafting the conspiracy theories even as we write this... Or just recycling old ones?

Earnest hope is that Trump not having the reins of the government will lead to a swifter response to any post-election incitement... of course that would mean relying on Biden to act decisively on something that isn't supporting Israel but he has surprised me in the past so 🤷