To understand what’s happening w the election models rn, it’s instructive to look at something like the 2022 PA-Sen race. The last month of the race saw a bombardment of low quality pollsters & R aligned ratfucker outlets that dragged the averages to the right. As such, they all got the race wrong.

What all those junky low quality firms learned—and especially what all the GOP aligned ratfucker operations learned—was that there would basically no penalty to produce crap that swayed averages and models in the direction of Republicans. So they’ve started even earlier this year.