It's hard to understate just how big the declines in 2023 (as estimated by @jeffasher.bsky.social) and potentially in 2024 (as predicted by the midyear MCCA data) really are. Unprecedented drops in modern history. And, relatively speaking? Absolute crickets when it comes to coverage.

I think those numbers on the y-axis need to be multiplied by a hundred.

The spike in crime when COVID got was huge. Philly went from about 350 murders in 2019 to 500+ the next 3 years. 2021 was a record high at 562.

As predicted by some, the spikes in crime and inflation were largely due to the pandemic and have been returning to baseline levels as the pandemic effect receded

I don't understand the graph. So people thought the numbers of homicides would be higher but it's way lower? I wonder what the numbers are for suicides

understate?