One interesting fact I learned this morning about the potentially catastrophic storm surge in Tampa Bay: the reason it could vary as widely as 10-15 ft vs 3-5 ft pertains to the eye. If any part of the eye crosses Tampa Bay, 💥: catastrophic surge. If the eye passes south, Tampa Bay will be spared…

To be clear, the surge in Tampa Bay will be deadly to humans no matter what. If you haven’t evacuated, get to a shelter. But if the eye crosses over to the south, it means that Tampa Bay won’t be structurally destroyed (the way Ian destroyed coastline in the Ft. Myers area).