New study reveals that the remaining CO₂ Budget to stay below 1.5°C was heavily overestimated in the latest IPCC report. The AR6 gave a number of 494 billion tons while the new study (below) estimates only half of that. This would leave us just about 6 years! www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets - Nature Climate Change

The remaining carbon budget (RCB) is a critical estimate of the carbon that can be emitted while staying within a particular temperature threshold. This study provides an updated assessment of the RCB...