… result of a simulation study led by the Kiel Institute. @baqaee.bsky.social@schularick.bsky.social@julianhi.nz@benmoll.bsky.social@feodorateti.bsky.social@joschkawanner.bsky.social 2/2
An abrupt halt to 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮 would cause Germany's economy to shrink by 5% in the short run, comparable to the slum following the financial or COVID crisis. In the longer term, the loss will stabilize at around 1.5% annually. Gradual reduction would avoid the high initial costs. This is...1/2
An abrupt halt to trade with China would cause Germany's economy to shrink by 5 percent in the short run. The slump is comparable to that following the financial crisis or the COVID crisis. This is th...
🌍 Geoeconomic fragmentation is a reality 🌎 EU is uniquely exposed & prepared to deal w/ it 🌏 EU policymakers should deepen the single market & advocate for rules-based trading system We spoke w/ 𝗚𝗶𝘁𝗮 𝗚𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗵 as she was awarded the Bernhard Harms Prize at the Kiel-CEPR conference @diplo.de
#geoeconomics #gopinath #kielinstitute https://www.ifw-kiel.de/institute/events/conferences/geoeconomics/
Very much enjoyed yesterday’s Helmut Schmidt Lecture 2023 in Berlin held by Moritz @schularick.bsky.social@kielinstitute.bsky.social) on Remaking Globalization. Would be interesting to see new streams of economic thought that further investigate the efficiency-security trade-off.
Why it is high time for Europe and Germany to shift perspective from Chinese economic strength to the effects of Chinese economic weakness. Find out what Kiel Institute's President @schularick.bsky.socialwww.ifw-kiel.de/publications...
Europe and Germany have to shift perspective: not the strength but the weakness of the Chinese economy will be a central challenge going forward.
Welcome back to Day 2 of #Geoeconomics#LIVESTREAM@jankaoertel.bsky.social@schularick.bsky.social@guntramwolff.bsky.social Program and livestream 👇
Rigorous research on the link between economics and geopolitics remains scarce. This joint conference will bring together world-leading scholars working at the intersection of geopolitics and (interna...
Interesting proposition in Gita Gopinath's @kielinstitute.bsky.social Geoeconomics conference keynote: 🇪🇺 is uniquely exposed to geoeconomic fragmentation, but also uniquely placed to build resilience thanks to strengths in both manufacturing and innovation. 1/
... do have significant effects; it is work in progress, both intellectually and in terms of implementation. @ndeitelhoff.bsky.social@diplo.de
Do sanctions work? The question raised in the first panel of our #geoeconomics@martinsandbu.bsky.social concluded. Sanctions ...
