To show resolve or restraint? That is the question for great powers facing major global crises. In a newly published paper, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.socialdoi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Abstracts. How do citizens of US allies assess different reassurance strategies? This article investigates the effects of US reassurance policies on public
Had a great conversation with APLN last night on managing US extended deterrence in East Asia. You know it was good when the conference ended at 1am and you’re still thinking about it when you wake up! I love it when my job is talking about interesting problems with interesting people.
Does the US need more nuclear weapons to face the “two-peer problem” posed by Russia’s and China’s nuclear arsenals? I revisit the nuclear superiority lit in my latest for Carnegie Endowment & argue this approach “is unlikely to be helpful” in the current geopolitical environment. t.co/fTCGpH9BeI
Statistical analysis of nuclear crises tells an unexpected story about the usefulness of expanding nuclear arsenals.
Honored to receive this award from the Army Strategist Association for my work with Katie Hedgecock on attribution and retaliation to cyber attacks. Read our JCR article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1....
I’d like to be added! Thanks! :)
It was a pleasure to speak at this year’s NATO nuclear policy forum! I discussed my recent research on Russian and North Korean nuclear threats, which you can read about here: carnegieendowment.org/2023/05/04/r....
Why does the US struggle to deter North Korea? What should we make of KJU’s visit to Russia? What role does China play in the Korean Peninsula? We discuss these questions and more in the latest edition of The Focus Podcast: sageinternational.com.au/video/u-s-st...
Goodbye, CISAC! It was great to be back at Stanford for an excellent conversation about law, ethics, and nuclear weapons.
I guess that makes the two of us the most trendy 😂
Are bigger nuclear arsenals really better? Nuclear superiority makes states less likely to accomplish their goals during crises against adversaries that have much smaller arsenals. Read more in the new edition of Security Studies: doi.org/10.1080/0963...
When crises occur between nuclear-armed states, do relative nuclear capabilities affect the outcome? The literature offers no consensus about nuclear superiority’s effect on crisis victory, but thi....