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The Rugby League Eye Test
@leagueeyetest.bsky.social
Artisan & small batch rugby league stats & analysis by @carlosthedwarf.bsky.social | X/IG/Threads: @leagueeyetest | LeagueEyeTest@gmail.com | Attribution apparently optional
119 followers86 following121 posts
TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

One of the reasons I used per play the ball rather than per game to analyse this is because the number of PTBs for each of the eight finals game has varied widely: 332 321 340 301 342 267 267 330

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

I just find it amusing that penalty rates are similar but set restarts get thrown out of the window

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

Some data on the avg number of play the balls per penalty or set restart awarded, split by regular season/finals for each referee who officiated a finals game in 2024. Added Adam Gee's regular season numbers for reference.

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

More finals Bootwatch updates: Jarome Luai is wearing the Canterbury Speed Infinite Elite. Only the second NRL player I've seen wearing them, joining Spencer Leniu Luai was previously wearing adidas boots.

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

Rounds 1-3 and Rounds 23+ Asics Rounds 4-22 Under Armour Might be a weather/conditions thing for the cooler months? Only other player I've seen change brands like this mid season was Tom Burgess.

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

Eli Katoa wearing Asics boots tonight, hasn't worn Under Armour since Round 22. Also started the season wearing Asics. Melbourne's record for each boot brand he's worn this season: Under Armour: 13-3 Asics: 6-1

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

Looking at Brisbane's points conceded against expected as a percentage, it's clear that 2023 was the aberration, not the norm. Also went from 5th in tries conceded 50-20m out last year (9) to 2nd last (20) this season. Tries allowed from own half were up from 2 to 9 as well.

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TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

Brisbane allowed 7.5 more points/game in 2024 vs 2023, from defending similar possession & field position (+1.6 in expected points conceded). Goal line defense deserted them this year. From that perspective hard to argue that Walters was still the right person for the job

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Reposted by The Rugby League Eye Test
TRleagueeyetest.bsky.social

In fact only four sides have made the grand final without a "Dominant" defense. The other two were the 2022 Parramatta Eels and the 2023 Brisbane Broncos.

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The Rugby League Eye Test
@leagueeyetest.bsky.social
Artisan & small batch rugby league stats & analysis by @carlosthedwarf.bsky.social | X/IG/Threads: @leagueeyetest | LeagueEyeTest@gmail.com | Attribution apparently optional
119 followers86 following121 posts