This post is long but informative (even if mostly written before the newest paper): The 8 Fallacies of Assembly Theory hectorzenil.medium.com/test-8f0be54...

The 8 Fallacies of Assembly Theory

In response to the alleged misunderstandings evident in our exposure of the many serious issues undermining the foundations and methods of…

In terms of impact it clearly should...but my guess is that it won't, partly because it's hard to choose who should get it and also perhaps a bias against technology. And the Nobel's view of science via brilliant jumps is so outdated that it's often forced to choose smaller discrete contributions