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National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
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Atlantic Hurricane Milton Advisory Number 13 issued at Tue, 08 Oct 2024 08:32:24 +0000 ...EXTREMELY POWERFUL HURRICANE MILTON JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDER... Additional Details Here.

<br /> 000<br /> WTNT34 KNHC 080832<br /> TCPAT4<br /> <br /> BULLETIN<br /> Hurricane Milton Advisory Number 13<br /> NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024<br /> 400 AM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024<br /> <br /> ...EXTREMELY POWERFUL HURRICANE MILTON JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN<br /> PENINSULA...<br /> ...MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND<br /> RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDERS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS...<br /> <br /> <br /> SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION<br /> ----------------------------------------------<br /> LOCATION...22.3N 88.9W<br /> ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NE OF PROGRESO MEXICO<br /> ABOUT 560 MI...905 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA<br /> MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H<br /> PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H<br /> MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB...27.29 INCHES<br /> <br /> <br /> WATCHES AND WARNINGS<br /> --------------------<br /> CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:<br /> <br /> None.<br /> <br /> SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:<br /> <br /> A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...<br /> * West coast of Florida from Flamingo northward to the Suwannee<br /> River, including Charlotte Harbor and Tampa Bay<br /> <br /> A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...<br /> * Celestun to Rio Lagartos<br /> * Florida west coast from Bonita Beach northward to the mouth of the<br /> Suwannee River, including Tampa Bay<br /> <br /> A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...<br /> * Sebastian Inlet to Edisto Beach, including St. Johns River<br /> <br /> A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...<br /> * Rio Lagartos to Cabo Catoche<br /> * Campeche to south of Celestun<br /> * Dry Tortugas<br /> * Lake Okeechobee<br /> * Florida west coast from Chokoloskee to south of Bonita Beach<br /> * Florida east coast from the St. Lucie/Indian River County Line<br /> northward to the mouth of the St. Marys River<br /> <br /> A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...<br /> * Rio Lagartos to Cancun<br /> * Campeche to south of Celestun<br /> * All of the Florida Keys, including Dry Tortugas<br /> * Lake Okeechobee<br /> * Florida west coast from Flamingo to south of Bonita Beach<br /> * Florida west coast from north of the mouth of the Suwanee River to<br /> Indian Pass<br /> <br /> A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…<br /> * East coast of the Florida Peninsula south of the St. Lucie/Indian<br /> River County Line southward to Flamingo<br /> * Coast of Georgia and South Carolina from north of the mouth of the<br /> St. Marys River to South Santee River, South Carolina<br /> <br /> A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening<br /> inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,<br /> during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a<br /> depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather<br /> Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at<br /> hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons<br /> located within these areas should take all necessary actions to<br /> protect life and property from rising water and the potential for<br /> other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other<br /> instructions from local officials.<br /> <br /> A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected<br /> somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued<br /> 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of<br /> tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside<br /> preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life<br /> and property should be rushed to completion.<br /> <br /> A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are<br /> expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.<br /> <br /> A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-<br /> threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the<br /> coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.<br /> For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather<br /> Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at<br /> hurricanes.gov.<br /> <br /> A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible<br /> within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours<br /> before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force<br /> winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or<br /> dangerous.<br /> <br /> A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are<br /> possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.<br /> <br /> Interests in the remainder of Florida and the northwestern Bahamas<br /> should monitor the progress of this system.<br /> <br /> For storm information specific to your area in the United<br /> States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please<br /> monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service<br /> forecast office. For storm information specific to your area<br /> outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by<br /> your national meteorological service.<br /> <br /> <br /> DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK<br /> ----------------------<br /> At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Milton was located<br /> near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 88.9 West. Milton is moving<br /> toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the<br /> east-northeast and northeast is expected today and Wednesday. On<br /> the forecast track, the center of Milton is forecast to move just<br /> north of the Yucatan Peninsula today and approach the west coast of<br /> the Florida Peninsula on Wednesday. The hurricane is forecast to<br /> make landfall in Florida Wednesday night.<br /> <br /> Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher<br /> gusts. Milton is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on<br /> the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While fluctuations in<br /> intensity are expected, Milton is forecast to remain an extremely<br /> dangerous hurricane through landfall in Florida.<br /> <br /> Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the<br /> center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles<br /> (165 km).<br /> <br /> The estimated minimum central pressure is 924 mb (27.29 inches).<br /> <br /> <br /> HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND<br /> ----------------------<br /> Key Messages for Milton can be found in the Tropical Cyclone<br /> Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC<br /> and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml<br /> <br /> STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4<br /> to 6 feet above ground level along the northern coast of the<br /> Yucatan Peninsula in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the<br /> surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.<br /> <br /> The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause<br /> normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters<br /> moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the<br /> following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if<br /> the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...<br /> <br /> Anclote River, FL to Englewood, FL...10-15 ft<br /> Tampa Bay...10-15 ft<br /> Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...6-10 ft<br /> Charlotte Harbor...6-10 ft<br /> Yankeetown, FL to Anclote River, FL...5-10 ft<br /> Bonita Beach, FL to Chokoloskee, FL...4-7 ft<br /> Suwannee River, FL to Yankeetown, FL...3-5 ft<br /> Chokoloskee, FL to Flamingo, FL...3-5 ft<br /> Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Altamaha Sound, GA...3-5 ft<br /> Sebastian Inlet, FL to Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL...2-4 ft<br /> Altamaha Sound, GA to Edisto Beach, SC...2-4 ft<br /> Dry Tortugas...2-4 ft<br /> St. Johns River...2-4 ft<br /> <br /> The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to<br /> the south of the landfall location, where the surge will be<br /> accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding<br /> depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,<br /> and can vary greatly over short distances. For information<br /> specific to your area, please see products issued by your local<br /> National Weather Service forecast office.<br /> <br /> For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge<br /> inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm<br /> Surge Graphic, available at<br /> hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.<br /> <br /> RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 5 to 12 inches, with localized totals<br /> up to 18 inches, are expected across central to northern portions of<br /> the Florida Peninsula through Thursday. This rainfall brings the<br /> risk of life-threatening flash, urban and aerial flooding along<br /> with moderate to major river flooding.<br /> <br /> Milton will also produce rainfall totals 2 to 4 inches across the<br /> Florida Keys through Thursday. In addition, rainfall amounts of 2<br /> to 4 inches with isolated totals around 6 inches are expected across<br /> northern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula.<br /> <br /> For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with<br /> Hurricane Milton, please see the National Weather Service Storm<br /> Total Rainfall Graphic, available at<br /> hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk<br /> graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.<br /> <br /> WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring in the warning area in<br /> Mexico today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch areas<br /> in Mexico today, and tropical storm conditions are expected to <br /> continue in tropical storm warning area today.<br /> <br /> Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area on the west<br /> coast of Florida as early as Wednesday afternoon, with tropical<br /> storm conditions beginning early Wednesday. Hurricane conditions<br /> could begin along the east coast of Florida in the watch areas on<br /> Wednesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible beginning<br /> Wednesday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the<br /> tropical storm warning areas in Florida beginning early Wednesday<br /> and will spread northward through the day. Tropical storm conditions<br /> are possible within the watch area on the east coast of Florida by<br /> Wednesday night and along the Georgia and South Carolina coasts on<br /> Thursday.<br /> <br /> TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over central and southern <br /> Florida beginning late tonight and continuing through Wednesday <br /> night.<br /> <br /> SURF: Swells generated by Milton are expected to continue to<br /> affect much of the Gulf Coast within the next day or two, and are<br /> likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.<br /> Please consult products from your local weather office.<br /> <br /> <br /> NEXT ADVISORY<br /> -------------<br /> Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.<br /> Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.<br /> <br /> $$<br /> Forecaster Cangialosi<br /> <br />
Hurricane Milton 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
Hurricane Milton 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Hurricane Milton Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
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NH
National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
@nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us
Unofficial bot sharing alerts from National Hurricane Center - Atlantic. This account is not monitored. Contact @wandrme.paxex.aero if needed.
622 followers1 following145 posts
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