Reality Check: 1️⃣ Jan 2023: Remaining carbon budget (RCB) for a 50% chance of 1.5ºC = 250 GtCO2 2️⃣ 2023 emissions: 41.6 GtCO2 3️⃣ Jan 2024: RCB for a 50% chance of 1.5ºC = 208.4 GtCO2 4️⃣ Years to deplete budget at 41 Gt/yr = 5 Lamboll et al (Nov 2023): www.nature.com/articles/s41... 🧪

Wow, this is a significantly smaller budget than IPCC predictions. AR6's prediction of 500 Gt (from 2020) for 1.5C was already dire enough. The non-CO2 warming bit certainly emphasizes the importance of phasing things out like HFCs and whatnot.

youtu.be/2ObjtVdsV3I?...