Assurances are integral to the logic of deterrence (and coercion more broadly). They clarify the choice: war or peace. Preventing a war over Taiwan requires that we get this right and pair threats with assurance. Thanks @bglaser.bsky.social Jessica Chen Weiss and Tom Christensen for the shout-out 🙏.

FAforeignaffairs.bsky.socialNov 30, 2023 9:40pm

If the United States wants to prevent war in the Taiwan Strait, it will need more than weapons in arsenals and strategies on the planning table, write @bglaser.bsky.social, Jessica Chen Weiss, and Thomas Christensen. Washington must also provide Beijing with credible assurances.

Taiwan and the True Sources of Deterrence

Why America must reassure, not just threaten, China.