Biden winning the popular vote by 4.5% translated to a 40k lead across 3 states to win the Electoral College. if the polls are correct (and I don't think they are), we're not there yet. but we have a convention and a debate left.

A debate, or perhaps even better, a slow bleed from Trump's refusal to join one.

and several more months of rallies and ground game and GOTV and unforced errors from the Trump/Vance side. and-at least as scheduled, who the fuck knows of course-he's supposed to finally be sentenced for those felonies in September. also possible "mini trial" for Jan 6.