But also if the polls are dead on as of today, Harris wins. Trump needs movement towards him, which has been in short supply, or he needs a polling error. All things considered, you’d rather be in Kamala’s position.

I'm nervous about the sun belt (some polling weakness), PA (how close it is) and WI (historically overestimated dems a lot)

Absolutely. Harris also has a vastly better ground/GOTV operation, and Trump has to flip a lot of states.