he might still win! but i think that people are putting too much faith in polls that have really low levels of response now vs the amount of fundraising and enthusiasm for the campaign post-swap

From what I've seen, the biggest source of anxiety is this belief that "Polls ALWAYS underestimate Trump, so Harris is losing if she's not up by x points in the polls". Maybe it'll happen a third time. But it certainly not baked in.

I’m not sure what LaCivita would be doing differently if he were an anti-Trump sleeper agent.