I certainly hope you're right but I'm just stating the results of 538's analysis, in which they currently give Trump a 48% chance of winning. Have you seen any analysis that shows him with lower odds? Everything I'm seeing falls somewhere between Harris +1/2 nationally and a dead heat.

It's going to come down on how well Kamala's ground game in the Blue Wall states will be compared to Trump's.

I wasn't saying anything against you. I just don't think 538 is so reliable anymore and with all the people supporting Kamala from all voters/parties; I find it very hard to believe this race is 50-50 or so tight. Trump has been ... 1