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SPC Fire Weather Outlooks Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
@spc-fire.nws-bot.us
Unofficial bot sharing alerts from the NWS SPC Fire Weather Outlook. This account is not monitored. Contact @wandrme.paxex.aero if needed.
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Thu, 03 Oct 2024 18:29:27 +0000 🔥CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHEASTERN PACIFIC NORTHWEST🔥 Additional Details Here.

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0128 PM CDT Thu Oct 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHEASTERN PACIFIC NORTHWEST... The primary adjustment for this forecast update was a consolidation of the separate Elevated risk areas. Latest forecast guidance continues to trend towards increasing winds across much of the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. As such, dry and windy downslope conditions are expected in the lee of most prominent mountain ranges across the region. While some gaps in dry/windy conditions are anticipated, the majority of the northern Rockies will see the potential for elevated to critical fire weather conditions. Consideration was given for additional Critical risk areas across southwest MT and central WY, but the strongest winds will likely remain somewhat confined to the lee of terrain features, casting some uncertainty into the coverage of critical conditions. An expansion of the Elevated risk area across central to eastern MT was also considered as the cold front pushes east overnight. While drier solutions hint that elevated conditions are possible in the immediate wake of the front, ensemble guidance shows muted probabilities (30-40%) for reaching elevated criteria (likely due to the influence of nocturnal cooling). Trends will continue to be monitored for additional risk highlights across these regions. ..Moore.. 10/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0221 AM CDT Thu Oct 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach and eventually overspread the Pacific Northwest on Friday. Ahead of this trough, a strong surface cyclone will develop in Alberta, which will result in a tightening surface pressure gradient across much of the Pacific Northwest and the northern Rockies. In addition, 60+ mph of mid-level flow will move across the Northwest and northern Great Basin. This stronger mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass across southeast Oregon and northern Nevada and vicinity, which will result in even stronger winds across this region. Sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph are expected with relative humidity ranging from 15 percent to 25 percent. Given the critically dry nature of the fuels in this area, a Critical delineation was warranted. As the pressure gradient tightens across the northern Rockies and northern Plains, strong winds are expected to develop both across southern Wyoming and from the Nebraska Panhandle northward across the western Dakotas. Single-digit relative humidities are forecast across southern Wyoming with 15 to 25 percent relative humidity in the Plains. An Elevated delineation is warranted for both areas, and if winds trend stronger in Wyoming or relative humidity drier in the Plains, a Critical area may also need to be considered in these areas in later outlooks. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
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SPC Fire Weather Outlooks Alerts (UNOFFICIAL)
@spc-fire.nws-bot.us
Unofficial bot sharing alerts from the NWS SPC Fire Weather Outlook. This account is not monitored. Contact @wandrme.paxex.aero if needed.
17 followers1 following12 posts
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