Do opinion polls matter? Kevin Cunningham and I discussed polling methods, public opinion trends in Ireland, bandwagon effects, and the importance of parties vs. candidates on RTÉ Radio 1 this morning. 📻 Recording: www.rte.ie/radio/radio1...

Do opinion polls matter?

Stefan Müller, Assistant Professor in the School of Politics and International Relations at UCD and Kevin Cunningham, Lecturer in Politics at TU Dublin and Founder of Ireland Thinks

We are hiring an assistant or associate professor of European Politics at the University of Geneva: jobs.unige.ch/www/wd_porta...

New article on the current state of Irish parties, trends across age groups, and undecided voters. Over 50% of respondents in exit polls from 1997 to 2020 reported making their voting decisions during the campaign. ➡️ pollingindicator.com/blog/update-...

Longer-term trends in support for the main Irish political parties by age group, January 2019–September 2024 Data: RedC Research Download spreadsheets and create graphs: irishpoliticsdata.shinyapps.io/demographicp...

Excited to share new work with my coauthor, Colin Case! We produce issue-specific estimates for the left-right policy positions of congressional candidates Parts of this project are now under contract w/ CUP's Elements in Quant Methods 🥳 --- feedback welcome!! osf.io/preprints/os...

Today's my favorite day! It's the Local Political Economy Conference (LPEC). I'm presenting work w Tyler Simko and Rebecca Johnson on Measuring Conflict in Local Politics. Can't wait to nerd out all day! Huge thanks to @trounstine.bsky.social for all her work to build this community

New Irish Polling Indicator estimates after incorporating the latest Ireland Thinks poll: FG: 24% [21.5–26] FF: 21.5% [19.5–23.5] SF: 20% [18.5–21.5] Ind/Oth: 19.5% [17.5–22] GP: 4.5% [3.5–5.5] LAB: 3.5% [2.5–4.5] SD: 3% [2.5–4] AÚ: 2% [1.5–3] SPBP: 1.5% [1.5–2] Website: pollingindicator.com

This morning's #MHAWSopen.substack.com/pub/miryahol...

How to get tenure

No good very bad advice about building a tenurable case

With color palettes, the situation has improved in recent years, but just in case: jfly.uni-koeln.de/html/manuals... And in case one is not sure what works, there are color blindness simulators available, including free online ones.

If you’re preparing slides for teaching, the Atkinson Hyperlegible font might come in handy: – Designed for readers with partial visual impairment – Compatible with LaTeX, Quarto, RMarkdown, PowerPoint, and Google Slides – Download: brailleinstitute.org/freefont