🧵 A major new special report from The Downballot: Estimates of the Haitian population in Springfield, OH are all over the place—and they're all wrong. David Jarman digs deep into the data to discover the real answer

All the estimates of Springfield's Haitian population are wrong

Forget the sensationalized reports. The real figure is much smaller.

One oft-quoted figure of the number of Haitians in Springfield is 20,000, cited by (among others) the New York Times. Fox News even claimed 30,000. But sensationalized media reports are at odds with estimates from local officials, who've come up with lower numbers