BLUE
Profile banner
JE
Jonathan Erdman
@wxjerdman.bsky.social
Senior meteorologist @weatherchannel. M.S. Colorado State Univ.; B.S. UW-Madison; Insightful. Interesting. Impactful. Weather. Also on Threads, X.
136 followers31 following57 posts
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

While Helene will be damaging at the coast , it will also have significant inland impacts, including high winds, dangerous rainfall flooding and the threat of tornadoes. Prepare for power outages in Georgia, parts of the Carolinas, in addition to Florida. Don't drive on flooded roads.

1
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

Here is our latest thinking regarding a likely Gulf tropical storm (possible hurricane) this week. Folks along the northern Gulf Coast and Florida should monitor this forecast closely.

Gulf Tropical Storm Is Likely, Threat To Florida | Weather.com
Gulf Tropical Storm Is Likely, Threat To Florida | Weather.com

Yet another Gulf storm is ahead. Here's what you need to know about this latest threat. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

We've seen a consistent signal in forecast models for development in the W. Caribbean Sea by early next week, that could then move into the Gulf mid-late next week. For now, those along the Gulf Coast should monitor the forecast closely and, as always, have hurricane plans ready, just in case.

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

As we saw with the unnamed Louisiana/Mississippi flood in Aug. 2016, who needs a name? Peak totals: - Beryl: 16.88" (Hilshire Village TX) - Debby: 22.02" (Moncks Corner, SC) - Francine: 12.75" (Apalachicola, FL) - "Unnamed" PTC Eight: 20.81" (Carolina Beach, NC)

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

Per James Reynolds and Jonathan Belles, 10 days after its Vietnam landfall, the "remnant" of former Typhoon Yagi is a "depression" over northern India, per the India Meteorological Department.

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

Interesting that Louisiana's hurricane history includes active periods with rashes of landfalls within 1-2 seasons, as well as multi-year lulls.

A Look At Louisiana's Hurricane History | Weather.com
A Look At Louisiana's Hurricane History | Weather.com

The Pelican State has an interesting hurricane history with rashes of storms, then years without any. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

With the arrival of #Francine at some point today, here are the dates of the "F" storm arrival the past several years. A lot of variance. Despite a lagging 2022, that season still then generated Ian, then Nicole.

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

From ECMWF/C3S Aug. report: "The average anomaly for the remaining months of this year would need to drop by at least 0.30°C for 2024 not to be warmer than 2023. This has never happened in the entire ERA5 dataset, making it increasingly likely that 2024 is going to be the warmest year on record."

0
JEwxjerdman.bsky.social

First image: Tuesday (Tropical Storm Yagi) Second image: Wednesday (Cat. 4 Typhoon Yagi) Just another rapid intensifier.

0
Profile banner
JE
Jonathan Erdman
@wxjerdman.bsky.social
Senior meteorologist @weatherchannel. M.S. Colorado State Univ.; B.S. UW-Madison; Insightful. Interesting. Impactful. Weather. Also on Threads, X.
136 followers31 following57 posts