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MCchadbourn.bsky.social

Looks like Florida may be struck by another hurricane early next week.

Tropical Disturbance in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL92) 07:00 AM CDT Sat Oct 05, 2024 Seven-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook National Hurricane Center Miami, Florida 1.An area of low pressure over the Disturbance 1 southwestern Gulf of Mexico is likely to develop into a tropical depression or storm later today or tonight. 2. The system is likely to strengthen and could become a hurricane while it moves eastward or northeastward over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. There is an increasing risk of dangerous storm surge and wind impacts for portions of the Florida Peninsula beginning as soon as late Tuesday or Wednesday. 3. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. OTEN AM EDE cal Cyclone: O Depression For more information go to hurricanes.gov and weather.gov
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NHnhc-atlc.nws-bot.us

NHC Atlantic Outlook update for Sat, 05 Oct 2024 14:58:16 GMT Additional Details Here.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL<br>TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM<br><br>Tropical Weather Outlook<br>NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024<br><br>For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br><br>Active Systems:<br>The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane <br>Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on <br>Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic <br>Ocean.<br><br>1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92):<br>Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low <br>pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually <br>becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected, <br>and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or <br>on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf <br>of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move <br>faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf <br>of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on <br>the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida <br>Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of <br>this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could <br>occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over <br>much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. <br>* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.<br><br> 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:<br>A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on <br>Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible <br>thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the <br>eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or <br>over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests <br>there should monitor its progress.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<br>* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.<br><br> <br>Forecaster Kelly<br><br>
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image
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NHnhcbot.bsky.social

@NHC_Atlantic: 7AM CDT Oct 5: Here are the key messages for the tropical disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico (#AL92https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1842535886015332586

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RNrogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Hurricane Leslie, loc

tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Atlantic Ocean for NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. 1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Kelly
tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. 1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Kelly
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NHnhc-atlantic-m.bsky.social

7AM CDT Oct 5: Here are the key messages for the tropical disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico (#AL92).https://t.co/tW4KeGe9uJhttps://t.co/6Tz67hbTzB

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NHnhc-atlc.nws-bot.us

NHC Atlantic Outlook update for Sat, 05 Oct 2024 11:22:12 GMT Additional Details Here.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL<br>TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM<br><br>Tropical Weather Outlook<br>NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024<br><br>For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br><br>Active Systems:<br>The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane <br>Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on <br>Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic <br>Ocean.<br><br>1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92):<br>Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low <br>pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually <br>becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected, <br>and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or <br>on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf <br>of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move <br>faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf <br>of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on <br>the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida <br>Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of <br>this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could <br>occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over <br>much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. <br>* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.<br><br> 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:<br>A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on <br>Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible <br>thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the <br>eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or <br>over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests <br>there should monitor its progress.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<br>* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.<br><br> <br>Forecaster Kelly<br><br>
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image
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NHnhc-atlc.nws-bot.us

NHC Atlantic Outlook update for Sat, 05 Oct 2024 08:39:17 GMT Additional Details Here.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL<br>TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM<br><br>Tropical Weather Outlook<br>NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>200 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024<br><br>For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br><br>Active Systems:<br>The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane <br>Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on <br>Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic <br>Ocean.<br><br>1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92):<br>Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low <br>pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is broad and <br>ill defined, but it is producing winds just below gale force. <br>Development of this system is expected, and a tropical or <br>subtropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or <br>early next week while moving eastward or northeastward across the <br>Gulf of Mexico. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the <br>Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas <br>should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical <br>or subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over <br>portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of <br>Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. <br>* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.<br><br> 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:<br>A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on <br>Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible <br>thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the <br>eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or <br>over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests <br>there should monitor its progress.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<br>* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.<br><br> <br>Forecaster Berg<br><br>
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image
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JYjimmy-yunge.bsky.social

The NHC has designated a tropical disturbance #AL92www.hurricanes.gov#flwx

Seven day graphical tropical weather outlook from the National Hurricane Center as of 2:00am EDT 05 Oct 2024. A red x is in the Bay of Campeche with an arrow extending into a broad red-colored area drawn in the southern-ish Gulf of Mexico toward the Florida peninsula, indicating 80% chance of development there in 7 days (50% in 2 days). Source: www.hurricanes.gov
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RNrogue-nhc-atlantic.bsky.social

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Leslie

tropical weather outlook over the next 2 days greyscale satellite image of Atlantic Ocean for NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. 1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92): Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is broad and ill defined, but it is producing winds just below gale force. Development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while moving eastward or northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Berg
tropical weather outlook over the next 7 days color illustrated image of Atlantic Ocean for NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. 1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92): Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is broad and ill defined, but it is producing winds just below gale force. Development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while moving eastward or northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Berg
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NHnhc-atlc.nws-bot.us

NHC Atlantic Outlook update for Sat, 05 Oct 2024 05:47:38 GMT Additional Details Here.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL<br>TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM<br><br>Tropical Weather Outlook<br>NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>200 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024<br><br>For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br><br>Active Systems:<br>The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane <br>Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on <br>Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic <br>Ocean.<br><br>1. Gulf of Mexico (AL92):<br>Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low <br>pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is broad and <br>ill defined, but it is producing winds just below gale force. <br>Development of this system is expected, and a tropical or <br>subtropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or <br>early next week while moving eastward or northeastward across the <br>Gulf of Mexico. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the <br>Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas <br>should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical <br>or subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over <br>portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of <br>Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. <br>* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.<br><br> 2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:<br>A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on <br>Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible <br>thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the <br>eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or <br>over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests <br>there should monitor its progress.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<br>* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.<br><br> <br>Forecaster Berg<br><br>
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Outlook Image
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