Inside Elections which does non-partisan analysis and research is showing big shifts to the Democrats today: IA01 Tilt R --> Toss Up IA03 Tilt R --> Toss Up NM02 Toss Up --> Tilt D NY18 Lean D --> Likely D IL17 Lean D --> Likely D MN02 Lean D --> Likely D
More evidence that things are going well for Kamala Harris and down-ballot: House Democrats are expanding the battlefield again as internal polling for both parties shows tightening in Midwest "sleeper" seats like MI10, WI03, IA01 and IA03.
House Dems are expanding the battlefield -- again. Internal polling for both parties show tightening in Midwest "sleeper" seats like MI10, WI03, IA01 and IA03 They are going up with $1.4m in ads starting tomorrow in MI-10 www.politico.com/newsletters/...
The Polk County Dems shared this photo in a recent newsletter. These boxes are full of door bags w/candidate info and absentee ballot request forms. Volunteers delivered thousands to targeted low-turnout precincts. More on this GOTV and the #IA03www.bleedingheartland.com/2024/09/16/w...
Who's up early? Just posted my take on what needs to happen for Democratic challenger Lanon Baccam to beat GOP incumbent Zach Nunn in #Iowa's#Iowa#iapolitics#IA03www.bleedingheartland.com/2024/09/16/w...
Laura Belin ponders how Democratic challenger Lanon Baccam can win in Iowa's least red Congressional district.
More importantly, this means IA03 is definitely in play and IA01 is likely in play. The first flipped in 2021 by less than a dozen votes (with an incomplete recount due to the rules) and the third flipped in 2023 & includes DSM/Polk County which should be light blue at worst.