Excited to share new work in the Journal of Political Marketing w/terrific grad student Seon Bae. Using 1900-2022 data on *both* House & Senate; we find candidate quality & incumbency continues bicameral decline in salience but amateurs might've cost McConnell the majority. 🔗 tinyurl.com/ykxne95c
We find electorally strong majorities have little incentive to moderate bills while weaker majorities face strong incentive to motivate bipartisanship towards reaping electoral benefit. Clear trade-off between public support & majority partisan agendas. Link: www.nowpublishers.com/article/Deta...
Excited to see our article out at JPIPE, especially in the issue commemorating the 30th anniversary of Cox & McCubbins' Legislative Leviathan. Josh Ryan & I ask are there exogenous sources of variation in ideological policy concessions the majority makes to the minority in Congress? Yes! 1/2
Interesting new poll on the mass public's approval of the U.S. Congress...but is 8% the new "normal?" Nope, looks like the chaos in theHouse might be drawing congressional approval to *historic* lows according to universe of polling from 1974-2022. 8% approval is the third lowest ever recorded!
Great opportunity for first post on BlueSky! Excited to have an article in this Electoral Studies special issue on comparative Affective Polarization w/my good buddy @roizur.bsky.social . Check out all the neat comparative work on measurement, parties, and role of policy in AP!
Just had our big U01 kickoff meeting for the next phase of the Understanding America Study! A reminder to everyone in polisky that there's an enormous amount of existing data here and that if you field a survey using the UAS you can easily merge. https://uasdata.usc.edu/index.php