All we really know is that the race is polling a lot closer than we would like for it to be, and if you’re anxious or mad about that you’re better served personally and politically by volunteering for the campaign than you are picking through data on a Saturday morning.

I’ve been saying since the beginning that I think polling is now broken in favor of republicans. They got so burned by 2016 and 2020 that they’ve skewed in the other direction to account for shy Trump voters, which is why all the 2022 and since polling has been so far off the other way