I realise some people have a problem with correlation and causation, but you'd think that they'd grasp the problem with blaming a design fault on a plane that first flew in 2016 on a change in policy that happened in 2022.

Also - a real big case of selecting on the DV.

What exactly about Musk’s or Ackman’s track records here suggests that they would grasp that?

You definitely have a much stronger argument that outsourcing to independent contractors and “right to work” locations from the unionized Washington State workforce has made the 737 Max the death trap that it is.

well there are bluechecks who are certain the illness I developed in 2020 was due to the vaccine I received in 2021 and you would think this would be a simple “case closed” argument but it is not

Would it shock you that no such change in incentives occurred and that even if we blame the failures on current incentives those incentives are still purely financial metrics?

Also pretty sure nobody yet knows yet whether it's an installation, fabrication, design, or maintenance failure root cause