I have to stop because they're giving me a stomachache. Those swing stage polls in particular are very very bad right now.
I keep searching for patterns that aren’t there & really need to stop.
They're not so much "bad" as "nobody's breaking away". Which is bad in its own way, but not like there are losses.
May I suggest Mike Madrid on Substack to tamp down some of that anxiety. Lincoln Project data guy kept me sane in 2020 and again this year. open.substack.com/pub/greattra...
A weekly update on America's political vital signs during this historic period of unprecedented change. Click to read The Great Transformation with Mike Madrid, a Substack publication with thousands o...
* state
I wouldn't describe them as good, but not "very very bad" either. Unless you're assuming a polling error in which Trump voters are being undercounted again