Colleagues of mine showed that a dynamical model informed with good priors on inventoried lead to good predictions, see eg www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...www.nature.com/articles/s41... Curious to hear your thoughts

Forecasting the propagation of pandemic shocks with a dynamic input-output model

We introduce a dynamic disequilibrium input-output model that was used to forecast the economics of the COVID-19 pandemic. This model was designed to …

And to add a more "mainstream" reference, you're likely aware of this by Mejean's group, www.dropbox.com/s/t6fvtm7kzc... I seriously think these things are impossible to capture in equilibrium models