#SCOTUS@mikepod.bsky.socialopen.substack.com/pub/michaelp...

Many are wondering whether the Roberts majority will intervene in the election to “select” the next president, a la Bush v. Gore. As if they haven’t already intervened repeatedly and profoundly on behalf of Trump—shielding him from prosecution via delays, the unjustifiable immunity ruling, etc.

The key to Harris’ chances lies not with voters who are truly undecided between two candidates, but those undecided between casting a Democratic ballot and staying home. www.msnbc.com/opinio...

Opinion | The biggest myth about ‘undecided’ voters

There are far fewer genuinely persuadable voters in America than there are survey respondents who say they are “undecided.”

Don't make me tap the sign. www.weekendreading.n...

Chart #2 is a screamer

MPmikepod.bsky.socialOct 1, 2024 2:55pm

--Five of the six Republicans on the Supreme Court were confirmed by senators representing less than half of the US population. --Republicans have held the Senate majority for five of the last twelve Congresses despite representing a majority of the US population only once in that span.

One reaction to my last post, “Kamala Harris Will Win the Popular Vote,” has been something like, “Duh, but what matters is the Electoral College.” I’d ask you to consider what it means that we collectively shrug off such an anti-democratic structure as “just the way it is.”

Choosing “undecided” in a survey doesn’t always mean open to voting for Harris or Trump. Rather, many people say they’re “undecided” to express their ambivalence about the choice they will probably make in the end. My new op-ed at MSNBC: www.msnbc.com/opinio...

Opinion | The biggest myth about ‘undecided’ voters

There are far fewer genuinely persuadable voters in America than there are survey respondents who say they are “undecided.”

Kamala Harris will win the popular vote, writes @mikepod.bsky.socialopen.substack.com/pub/michaelp...

Kamala Harris will win the national popular vote on November 5th, absent an extraordinary upending event. Here’s how we know. In the MAGA Era (post-2016), the best predictor of how—and whether—someone will vote in the future is how—and whether—they have voted in the past.

Here’s some additional context for that excellent NYT blockbuster expose today on how John Roberts shaped this year’s major pro-Trump SCOTUS rulings. It’s not the case, as the Times piece says, that the Roberts Court “found itself” entangled in presidential politics. That entanglement was a choice.