Donald Trump appears to be making real improvements with nonwhite voters, especially Hispanics. But thanks to the Electoral College—operating, as designed, to inflate the value of whites' votes—his gains with racial minorities might not help him one bit. slate.com/news-and-pol...
Again, it’s all about the demographics of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
If Trump takes Arizona because Latinos but Harris takes WI, MI, PA, NC & GA where there aren’t a lot of Latinos I’m… ok with that 🤷🏻♀️
Remember when Trump tried to convince the National Association of Black Journalists that Kamala Harris is not authentically black, then tripled down in subsequent days? His support among black voters fell ten points in a week. If Trump really is trending, it is an anomaly and quite temporary.
“Trump makes gains with people he calls rapists and murderers and vows to deport, even if they’re here legally”. Sure. That makes oodles of sense.
The Senate does that, but the EC mostly just makes only the swing states matter. And the poll crosstabs are probably wrong. They wrongly predicted the same in 2020 & 2022. (OK, Trump did better with Hispanics in 2020 than 2016).