Our new explainer looks at the key things Americans should know about election polling this year: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... One key point: While polling methods have diversified greatly in recent years, not all methods are equally sound. Caveat emptor.
We put together a little grab-bag of things to know about election polling in the US, for example that polling methods are quite different today than in 2016, that the margin of sampling error captures just one of several kinds of error, and much more pewrsr.ch/3iay5d5
The real environment in which polls are conducted bears little resemblance to the idealized settings presented in textbooks.
Now available from Pew Research Center: the annual National Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS), which interviewed 5,626 U.S. adults identified via address-based sampling with a 32% response rate. View key estimates and download the data: pewrsr.ch/3ukleLR
NPORS is an annual survey of U.S. adults conducted by the Pew Research Center used to to produce benchmark estimates for several topics.
This week we released a new version of our short course “Public Opinion Polling Basics.” In six short lessons, I discuss why we have polls, how polls work, the challenges facing polls, what to look for in a poll, and more. A new lesson focuses on election polling. www.pewresearch.org/course/publi...
How do polls work? What are the different kinds of polls? And what should you look for in a high-quality opinion poll? A Pew Research Center survey methodologist answers these questions and more in si...
"The majority of abortions in the U.S. now involve pills, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher. The CDC says 56% of U.S. abortions in 2021 involved pills, up from 53% in 2020 and 44% in 2019."
The U.S. abortion rate has generally declined since the 1980s, but there have been slight upticks in the late 2010s and early 2020s.
We just released a new report exploring views of Americans about the Israel-Hamas war, including views among Jewish and Muslim Americans. Despite sharp disagreement on many questions, a majority of the public (57%) expresses sympathy for both the Palestinian and Israeli people pewrsr.ch/4co9bUo
57% of Americans express some sympathy with both Israelis and Palestinians, including 26% who say their sympathies lie equally with both groups.
We just released a new analysis about the potential for opt-in surveys -- those where people volunteer to take surveys -- to provide misleading results, especially for young adults and Hispanics pewrsr.ch/49BMhqF
We examine how an opt-in poll may have unintentionally misled the public about the sensitive issue of Holocaust denial among young Americans.
To help describe the richness of public opinion, pollsters sort people into groups based on their religion, race, gender, partisanship and more. We've written a new data essay that takes a look at the stories behind those measures www.pewresearch.org/methods/2024...
As a shop that studies human behavior through surveys and other social scientific techniques, we have a good line of sight into the contradictory nature of human preferences. Here's a look at how we c...
Last year, my colleagues talked to a group of people who, while they may vote, are not strongly attached to either political party. By and large, they look at the nation’s politics as a topic better avoided than embraced. Here’s what some of them had to say: www.pewresearch.org/politics/?p=...
Untethered from partisan politics and uninterested in keeping up with political news, here is how some Americans view the current state of U.S. politics.
NEW from the Pew Research Center: Striking findings from 2023 These findings and charts from the past year include a record-high share of unmarried Americans, record-low views of the Supreme Court, rising public concern about artificial intelligence, and more. Read the full list: pewrsr.ch/47PSOx4
