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🎃💀BloodSugarSethMasket💀🎃
@smotus.bsky.social
"A very accessible, very interesting, non-bombastic political scientist." -Jonah Goldberg Subscribe to my newsletter "Tusk" about the Republican presidential contest: smotus.substack.com
8.8k followers883 following5.3k posts
smotus.bsky.social

The coverage now is "How did Harris lose her momentum?" when her polling position is the same now as it was six weeks ago. If anything, the race is getting closer because Trump is getting more popular as he presses an explicitly ethnonationalist agenda, which is really uncomfortable to wrestle with.

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People are doomering over nothing because the averages have been swamped with GQP polls that are just seriously, totally thumb-on-the-scale wrong. Watch this to learn more. It's basically "grifter looks back to trump adjusting the needle more and more until Trump smiles" 😒 youtu.be/ZP5SxNq4Mus?...

Nate Silver Is A Joke
Nate Silver Is A Joke

YouTube video by The Majority Report w/ Sam Seder

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SFscottfines.bsky.social

Another plausible explanation is that undecideds are starting to settle out of polls, causing the numbers to “tighten” but not really changing the race in a meaningful way

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Ttrollyman.bsky.social

All that's changed is the unbridaled excitment of a late canidate swithc and convention are over. I think a lot of people are mistaken their own personal feelings of excitement for the national feeling on voting

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BAboboinparadise.bsky.social

MSM needs a horse race but refuses to go to the track.

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Croadmeetsfeet.bsky.social

But I ask you again Madam Vice President, how can so many people want to vote for someone YOOOOU call a racist?

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smotus.bsky.social

We are now in the *third* consecutive election in which a near-majority of Americans backs a Donald Trump espousing racist and fascist viewpoints and people broadly blame his Democratic opponent for it.

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DZdoczombie.bsky.social

It is disgusting that 45% of "americans" want to vote for a criminal pervert. I am not one of them. They are a wholly different species than us.

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DPbigamishdoinks.bsky.social

You understand that plateauing in polling means she is losing momentum, right?

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ADartinshadow.bsky.social

Been saying this for awhile. The tightening happened when his racism ramped up EVEN MORE

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🎃💀BloodSugarSethMasket💀🎃
@smotus.bsky.social
"A very accessible, very interesting, non-bombastic political scientist." -Jonah Goldberg Subscribe to my newsletter "Tusk" about the Republican presidential contest: smotus.substack.com
8.8k followers883 following5.3k posts