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Scott Supak
@supak.bsky.social
Retired stage technician turned professional predictor of politics and climate on this pyretic planet. Supak.com “We are living in an interminable succession of absurdities imposed by the myopic logic of short-term thinking.” —Jacques-Yves Cousteau
127 followers938 following580 posts
SSsupak.bsky.social

Bonus track: Donald Trump has no friends.

Staring at the tabloids, people wonder why celebrities spin off into eccentricity and madness. (As someone who encountered fame at the age of 18, I’ve given this phenomenon considerable reflection.) It has to do with isolation — if you put a human being into any isolation chamber, they will hallucinate. Celebrity is a form of isolation. You are cut off from your community, people react and respond to you in an altered fashion. They give you exemptions from the normal rules of social engagement, they indulge you — and then they resent you for it. You live behind a glass wall — the more people stare, the more alone you feel. Then a snake of madness and megalomania creeps into even the most stable mind. The more fame, the more poison you swallow. The cure, the healing elixir — in my experience — is friendship. Kristofferson, luckily, took the time, put in the hours, made the effort to earn a shitload of friends.

https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-features/kris-kristofferson-last-ou
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SSsupak.bsky.social

Everyone's talking about Kristofferson dragging Toby Keith over the now-oddly-unpopular Iraq War, as Ethan Hawke described in this famous RS interview, but landing a helicopter on Johnny Cash's yard will always be my best memory of the man. www.rollingstone.com/music/music-...

https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-features/kris-kristofferson-last-outlaw-poet-ethan-hawke-interview-714098/
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SSsupak.bsky.social

So many rim jobs are being created... Here's why that's bad news for Joe Biden.

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Reposted by Scott Supak
SMwandrme.paxex.aero

Starter pack: go.bsky.app/UxQCnfV. Should have all 122 in there, but a couple of the handles are misbehaving in search so a chance something is amiss.

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SSsupak.bsky.social

The climate prediction markets at Kalshi have paid me to make them smarter, which means idiots pay me to educate them about climate change. Luckily for my bank account but sadly for the world, they don't learn very fast. kalshi.com/sign-up/?referral=04a2e4eb-8a04-46a0-89f4-db8db7017fcb

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SSsupak.bsky.social

"In socialism, everyone shares the wealth. In communism, everyone shares the poverty."--Gary Oldman as Herman Mankiewicz in "Mank" (2020)

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SSsupak.bsky.social

Ah, sorry, missed them my first time thru. Good stuff.

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SSsupak.bsky.social

IDK how to short these crazy muni bonds, but I do know you can hedge for climate risk at Kalshi. They have a wide range of climate markets, including tornadoes, hurricanes, arctic sea ice, global temperatures, and more. kalshi.com/sign-up/?referral=04a2e4eb-8a04-46a0-89f4-db8db7017fcb

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SSsupak.bsky.social

Republicans on chart one: "Raise the SS retirement age before it goes broke!" Republicans on chart two: "Hell no we don't want want to fix it *that* way!"

This is a chart of the worker-to-beneficiary ratio falling from 5:1 in 1960 to 2.3:1 in 2035, from the right-wing Heritage Foundation, the source is the SSA.
This is a chart of the immigrant share of the US population, 1850-2023, showing an increase from 4.7% in 1970 to 14.3% in 2023.
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Scott Supak
@supak.bsky.social
Retired stage technician turned professional predictor of politics and climate on this pyretic planet. Supak.com “We are living in an interminable succession of absurdities imposed by the myopic logic of short-term thinking.” —Jacques-Yves Cousteau
127 followers938 following580 posts