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Jason Furtado
@wxjay.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. Study large-scale climate dynamics, subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, and climate change. Proud RI native and New England sports fan. Opinions & thoughts are my own. 🇺🇸 🇵🇹
210 followers87 following30 posts
JFwxjay.bsky.social

New paper now out by my former postdoc now Asst Professor at @UofNorthDakota Jordan Christian on case of two flash droughts across the South Central US during 2022. The paper includes a view of how the S2S operational models handled these events. doi.org/10.1016/j.wa...

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

Stay safe!

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

I’m not sure that analogy holds for all of these communities or other areas hit by disasters. That is why I said this is a very difficult and delicate conversation that has to be had with these communities.

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

How does one value people’s livelihoods, memories, and sense of identity to these places? Very hard conversations need to be had about these aspects. Climate change is such a disruptive force on many levels.

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

Yeah probably won’t matter much in the end. I don’t see the nebulous 3-4% “undecided” people suddenly choosing a side based on the debate.

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

Mission accomplished for him and the Trump campaign.

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

This is just anecdotally, but was there anywhere near the talk about the devastating flooding expected in NC versus landfall of Helene and the impacts in Florida and Georgia? I didn’t see it. Maybe locally in NC? I also don’t remember seeing forecasts of 2-3 feet of rain, but again - just my view.

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

Beautiful morning for a flight. #FurtadoOnSabbatical

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

Thanks! Split violin plots would give a visual sense of differences. Quantifying those differences and displaying them seems a bit more challenging to me.

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JFwxjay.bsky.social

Stats/Met folks: Say I produce a box-and-whiskers plot from GEFS 00Z run showing max T for PVD for Day +10 from the model. What is the best way to show the change in the distribution (not just a new box-and-whiskers plot) of max T forecasts for PVD for the same verif day from subsequent GEFS runs?

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JF
Jason Furtado
@wxjay.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. Study large-scale climate dynamics, subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, and climate change. Proud RI native and New England sports fan. Opinions & thoughts are my own. 🇺🇸 🇵🇹
210 followers87 following30 posts