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Justin Kirkland
@jhkirkland1.bsky.social
Professor of Politics and Policy at UVa. American Politics, Legislatures, State Politics, Public Opinion, all the good stuff. Co-editor of Cambridge Studies in American Legislatures (Cambridge.org/AmericanLegislatures).
367 followers408 following25 posts
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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
JSjanetspittler.bsky.social

I am THRILLED that UVa Religious Studies is searching for an assistant professor of Eastern Christianity, broadly construed. Details in the ad! apply.interfolio.com/152804

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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
Ssorelle.bsky.social

Excited to share my new article in LSQ on partisan asymmetries in congressional communication! TLDR: Why are Republicans "better" messengers? Institutional resources, powerful leaders, and willing rank-and-file members. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/YJ6AF5...

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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
MRmollyereynolds.bsky.social

Come for a great exploration of why Congress hasn't been able to solve this problem in the nearly 20(!) years since I worked on this issue in my very first DC job. Stay for the Derek Kilmer gems (“It feels like he has 99 problems and I don’t need to be one"). www.politico.com/news/2024/09...

‘One pistol clip can change the balance of power’: Congress is wholly unprepared for a mass casualty event
‘One pistol clip can change the balance of power’: Congress is wholly unprepared for a mass casualty event

Leaders of both parties have ignored pleas to prep.

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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
RPrachelporter.bsky.social

Excited to share new work with my coauthor, Colin Case! We produce issue-specific estimates for the left-right policy positions of congressional candidates Parts of this project are now under contract w/ CUP's Elements in Quant Methods 🥳 --- feedback welcome!! osf.io/preprints/os...

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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
RCraphaelcunha.bsky.social

LSE Government is hiring an assistant professor of political science with a focus on political economy #polisky#PSJMInfo [deadline Sep 15 - so apply ASAP]

Assistant Professor in Political Science at London School of Economics and Political Science
Assistant Professor in Political Science at London School of Economics and Political Science

Looking for a new job opportunity in academia? Check out this job opening for a Assistant Professor in Political Science on jobs.ac.uk!

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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
MBbowtiepolitics.bsky.social

Pending legal challenges & any further stays, NC has over 132,000 absentee by mail ballot requests to send out, per data from NC State Board of Elections. Here are breakdowns of requests by voter party registration, race, and age categories (by NCSBE) #ncpol#Election2024

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JKjhkirkland1.bsky.social

UVa Politics is hiring an assistant professor in IR: apply.interfolio.com/152796 Please share broadly!

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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
AHandrew.heiss.phd

Oh man, this new JOP paper by Arthur Spirling and @bstewart.bsky.socialgithub.com/ArthurSpirli...

What Good is a Regression? Inference to the Best Explanation and the Practice of Political Science Research* Arthur Spirling„ Brandon M. Stewart… Abstract We argue that almost all empirical social science research should employ a mode of argumentation called “Inference to the Best Explanation” (IBE). While elements of IBE appear widely, it is seldom consciously described, leading to confusion about the role that evidence plays in social science claims. We describe what IBE is and its implications for the evaluation of studies of various types—from quantitative description, to traditional regression studies, to work with modern causal identification. We contend that debates over the merits of these approaches should be understood as debates over the relative weight scholars place on quality of explanations, the quality of evidence and the bridge between the two. Seeing the process this way helps highlight the merits of different research traditions and explains common pathologies of the
All told, the answer to “what good is a regression?” depends on what you want from it. There are reasonable answers that arise from the same philosophical framework being used (implicitly) by those that particularly promote causal inferences. But to reiterate: a regression can still be useful for evaluating an explanation whether the relevant coefficient is tightly causally identified or not. This does not mean anything goes. Authors should be clear about their explanations, what those explanations imply about the world and what their evidence actually tells us about those implications. The pitfall to avoid is the misrepresentation of explanation or evidence. Our view is that the standard for an empirical paper should be whether an interesting argument is well-advanced. We should evaluate arguments in the light of IBE. This still leaves open important questions such as the difficulty of making arguments with only descriptive evidence or the optimal aggregate balance of explanation and
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Reposted by Justin Kirkland
GLgeofflorenz.bsky.social

Come join us at Nebraska! My department is searching in REP with a policy emphasis. Not on committee but happy to answer questions. Job ad here: employment.unl.edu/postings/92973

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JKjhkirkland1.bsky.social

We're hiring in American Politics at Batten! Send your applications our way! apply.interfolio.com/150948

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JK
Justin Kirkland
@jhkirkland1.bsky.social
Professor of Politics and Policy at UVa. American Politics, Legislatures, State Politics, Public Opinion, all the good stuff. Co-editor of Cambridge Studies in American Legislatures (Cambridge.org/AmericanLegislatures).
367 followers408 following25 posts
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