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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
@paulgp.com
Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his
4.4k followers749 following1k posts
PGpaulgp.com

Universal Pre-K has huge income benefits for parents, despite limited academic effects for kids. "Excluding impacts on children, each dollar of net government expenditure yields $5.51 in after-tax benefits for families, almost entirely from parents' earnings gains." www.nber.org/papers/w3303...

This paper asks whether universal pre-kindergarten (UPK) raises parents' earnings and how much these earnings effects matter for evaluating the economic returns to UPK programs. Using a randomized lottery design, we estimate the effects of enrolling in a full-day UPK program in New Haven, Connecticut on parents' labor market outcomes as well as educational expenditures and children's academic performance. During children's pre-kindergarten years, UPK enrollment increases weekly childcare coverage by 11 hours. Enrollment has limited impacts on children's academic outcomes between kindergarten and 8th grade, likely due to a combination of rapid effect fadeout and substitution away from other programs of similar quality but with shorter days. In contrast, parents work more hours, and their earnings increase by 21.7%. Parents' earnings gains persist for at least six years after the end of pre-kindergarten. Excluding impacts on children, each dollar of net government expenditure yields $5.5
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DMblank.org

Does this suggest that the money would be more effectively spent on simple providing daycare services?

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WHgreenakers.bsky.social

I *PROMISE* I will spend all that money on other shit, pinky swear, cross my heart, whatever you want man, I love my kid's daycare but it's a bill of fully 2/3 of my mortgage every month

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PGpaulgp.com

And yes, as a parent this is the biggest "duh" result (as I'm sure some of the authors of this paper will tell you). But that's why you do research, so we have evidence to support this intuition.

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Cchrismommsen.bsky.social

Even at pretty modest assumed marginal tax rates this means the program is revenue generating for the federal government

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BWbigworker.bsky.social

I guess that tracks with the fact that parents secure childcare no matter what so the kid doesn't suffer directly, but the parent ends up passing up opportunities for income

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
@paulgp.com
Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his
4.4k followers749 following1k posts